It is hard to believe the end of the season is pretty much here. We have just 3 NFL games left until the offseason. We have continued our trend of .500 picks for the playoffs. Our Best Bets went 2-2 last weekend. Today, we win go for a 2-0 sweep with a Best Bet for each game. The AFC Championship between the Patriots and Broncos will kick off at 3:00 PM ET. Then at 6:30 PM, the Rams will take on the Seahawks for the NFC Championship. The winner of each game will punch their ticket to the Super Bowl. I have had Jamie make his pick between the Rams and Seahawks as that tis the game where the public is more split. It should be a great day of football. Let’s make some money!

Best Bets
  • Hunter Henry Receiving Yards over 40.5
  • Matthew Stafford Pass Yards over 256.5

Best Bet Background – Hunter Henry Receiving Yards over 40.5

The first game of the day features 2 of the best defenses in the league. The Broncos are the 3rd ranked team in terms of points against. The Patriots are ranked 4th. Both defenses are top 10 in both pass and run defense. It should be a hard-fought game. The Broncos are starting their backup QB, Jarrett Stidham, after losing Bo Nix to an ankle injury last week. With an unknown at quarterback, the Broncos defense needs to shut down this high powered Patriots offense to stay in this game.

That being said, the Patriots have a chance to exploit a weakness of the Denver defense. Denver is one of the worst at defending tight ends this year. They rank 26th in the NFL in yards allowed to the tight end. This means that Hunter Henry should be in for a big day. Henry is the 2nd leading receiver for the Patriots and offers a huge target over the middle for Drake Maye. I would expect the Patriots to attack this weakness and for Henry to clear the 40-yard mark fairly easily.

Best Bet Background – Matthew Stafford Pass Yards over 256.5

The NFC Championship game will be the 3rd time the Seahawks and Rams have played this year. They split the 2 regular season games, the most recent being a crazy shootout game where Seattle managed a 38-37 win. This game is set up to be a shootout once again. The Rams have the highest scoring offense in the league while the Seahawks are ranked 3rd. Both defenses are solid but have been known to give up plenty of yards.

Given that this game could be a shootout, I am picking Matt Stafford’s pas yards as our second best bet. He is averaging 276.9 yards per game this year. He threw for 457 against the Seahawks in their last game. Seattle is allowing 193 yards per game through the air. While that is a tough test, the Rams are built to throw the ball. They can spread it around to Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, and the fullest tight end room in the league. While they can run the ball, they typically get away from the run game in favor of the pass. I have bet on Kyren Williams too many times to not understand how these games go. The Rams will be throwing the ball and with their weapons on offense, I believe Stafford might go for over 300 yards so the 257 mark should be no sweat.

Jamie’s Pick of The Week

Jamie is 2-0 in the playoffs so far. Today, he will be picking the winner of the NFC Championship game to see if he can keep his undefeated record going!

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