AFC East

This division has been dominated by the Bills. They have won the division for the past 5 years and it is shaping up to be a six-peat. That means that second place and a potential wild card spot is up for grabs. The Jets and Patriots have new coaching staffs and are both trying to instill a tough culture. The Dolphins are seemingly a mess and are one injury away from complete disaster. However, anything can happen over the course of the season. Read below to see what moves were made and our selections for each teams win totals.

AFC East Winner Odds

  • Bills (-280)
  • Patriots (+550)
  • Dolphins (+750)
  • Jets (+1700)

Buffalo Bills – 11.5

  • Head Coach – Sean McDermott
  • OC – Joe Brady
  • DC – Bobby Babich
  • 2024 Record – 13-4
  • Strength of Schedule – 5th easiest

The Buffalo Bills are coming off one of the best seasons in recent history. Much was made last year about the lack of offensive firepower. The trade of Stefon Diggs led many to believe that the Bills had no plan on offense. Then Josh Allen proved everyone wrong by leading the team to 13 victories, an AFC Championship birth, and winning the MVP award. Despite the season ending in a disappointing loss to the Chiefs, it would be fair to categorize it as a success. They look to build on that success as they turn their eyes towards 2025. They bring back the same coaching staff and a majority of the same roster as they are continuing to chase the elusive Super Bowl title.

Offense

Led by the league’s reigning MVP, the Bills offense looks to improve on last year’s performance. That would be a tall order as the Bills had the 2nd highest scoring offense, averaging 30.9 points per game. Under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, continuity will be a key to their success as 15 of their 16 top offensive snaps from 2024 return in 2025.

The run game had some questions this offseason with the contractual situation of James Cook. However, it looks like he is back in the building and will be joining the team. Cook had a breakout year where he led the NFL with 16 rushing touchdowns. He was also incredibly effective in the pass game. He will be joined and complemented once again by Ray Davis, who had flashes of brilliance last year, and Ty Johnson, who rounds out the room. Pair these three backs with the running ability of Josh Allen and I believe that the Bills will once again have one of the better rushing attacks in the NFL.

Through the air, Allen will continue to work on his chemistry with his top target, Khalil Shakir. Shakir, aside from being a multiple Best Bet winner for us, had a very productive year and earned himself a new contract. He will once again be joined by second year player Keon Coleman, who is looking to have a larger impact on this offense after a quietly productiev rookie year. He finsihed last year with 556 yards and 29 catches. That leaves plenty of room for opportunity to get more involved. In an effort to add some more targets for Allen, the Bills signed Joshua Palmer from the Chargers and Elijah Moore. Palmer provides a well-regarded vertical threat while Moore brings speed and slot versatility. When they are not runnning a wide reciever heavy package, they have two tight ends who are essentially wide outs. Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox will see plenty of play time each.

This offensive line is touted as one of the best in the NFL. It all begins with Dion Dawkins at the left tackle spot. Dawkins is in the conversation for the best left tackle around the league. He is then joined by left guard David Edwards, center Connor McGovern, right guard O’Cyrus Torrence, and Spencer Brown at right tackle. This group has shown the ability to dominate games and it will most likely continue to do so this year.

Defense

The Bills defense is where the team can make improvement. They were 11th in points allowed last year, allowing 21.6 points per game. Additionally, they were 17th in total defense and 18th in run defense. They needed to address these areas if they want to reach the next level. A theme for this team overall last year was that they were able to easily beat bad teams but when they played other playoff teams, it turned into a shootout and was usually decided by one score. The decisions by the front offense this year reflect a desire to revamp this unit. They signed several big-name free agents. They also used six of their top seven picks on defense in this year’s draft.

The defensive line got a major revamp this year. The Bills added defensive end, Joey Bosa, to a room that already included Ed Oliver, Greg Rousseau, and DaQuan Jones. Bosa will be replacing exciting veteran Von Miller. Last year, this group was unable to keep up with the physicality of the rest of the top AFC teams and it showed up late in the playoffs. Hopefully with the addition of Bosa and some other depth signings, the Bills run defense will have improved.

The linebacking group gets back one of their leaders in Matt Milano. Milano has missed significant time due to injury over the past two seasons. Prior to that, he was a tackling machine in the middle of the field for the Bills. He will be joined by Terrel Bernard and Dorian Williams

The secondary got a boost and some serious speed when they drafted Maxwell Hairston in this years draft. Hairston posted the fastest 40-yard dash time in this years combine. Right now, he is listed to play opposite of Christian Benford, who just signed a four year, $76 million this offseason. Benford is just one of several “homegrown” picks that have developed for the Bills over the years. The hope is that Hairston is the next guy to work his way into a second contract. Working with these two out of the nickel position will be Taron Johnson, who has been a mainstay in this secondary for the past several years. The Bills also added some depth in free agency when they signed former longtime Bill, Tre White as well as Dane Jackson.

There is a bit of a question mark in the safety room with who will line up next to Taylor Rapp. Damar Hamlin was the starter last year but he has bene battling injury and now has some competition with the signings of Jordan Hancock and Cole Bishop.

Summary

The Bills are consistently in contention for a Super Bowl for a reason. They have been able to draft well and fill other major needs through free agency. They also have their MVP quarterback to lead them. Pair the fact that they are returning a majority of their starters on offense with the fact they made improvements to their defense and that they have the 5th easiest (expected) schedule, I believe that they should easily win more than 11 games this year. In fact, the odds for them to win the division are so much in their favor, I would start looking at conference and Super Bowl odds. They are currently +360 on FanDuel to win the AFC and +700 to win the Super Bowl.

Bet – Over 11.5 (-165)

Miami Dolphins – 7.5

  • Head Coach – Mike McDaniel
  • OC – Frank Smith
  • DC – Anthony Weaver
  • 2024 Record – 8-9
  • Strength of Schedule – 9th easiest

The 2024 Dolphins were probably one of the more disappointing teams of last year. Coming off of a 2023 season where they went 11-6 and made it to the playoffs, they struggled to win early. The high-flying offense of the previous year was one of the most inefficient offenses, especially once Tua Tagovailoa got yet another concussion. He was apparently the only quarterback that was able to operate this offense. The Dolphins trotted out 3 other QBs that combined for a 2-4 record. Ultimately, the offense ended the year as the 22nd best scoring offense in the league. They were scoring an average of 20.3 points per game. On defense, they were vastly improved but still allowed 21.4 points per game. That is not a winning formula. The offseason has done little to inspire confidence that this team will get back to its winning ways.

Offense

The offense is seemingly in disarray. Tua appears to be beefing with Tyreek Hill in the media. A public quarterback and star wide receiver beef has never ended well and rarely translates to more points on the board. Last year showed that this offense will not operate without a fully healthy Tua or a fully bought in / healthy Tyreek Hill.

This offense will go as far as Tua’s health will carry them. In his 5 NFL seasons, Tua has only started 17 games once. Concussions have been a major concern and will be a continuing narrative. When healthy, Tua has shown that he can lead and operate this offense to be one of the best in the league. With health always a concern for Tua, the Dolphins may have to turn to their newly signed back up quarterback, Zach Wilson. Wilson was the 2nd overall pick in 2021 and struggled to produce in his 3 years as a Jet. He spent last year as a member of the Broncos so maybe some time under Sean Payton did him some good. If he gets passed over, the Dolphins drafted Quinn Ewers out of Texas, who might be a fan favorite should he get the chance.

One of the key reasons that htis offense can be so dangerous is the speed at seemingly every position group. Running back, De’Von Achane, is the perfect example. One fo the fastest backs in the NFL and can break a long run at any point. He was used more heavily in the pass game last year than in his rookie year. He saw his target count rise form 37 to 87 while also seeing an increase in his carry total. McDaniels like to get Achane in space so I would expect him to continue to be a versatile part of this offense. He will continue to get his carries but should also be utilized on screens and checkdowns in order to get him in open field. To supplement him, the Dolphins have a duo of more physical backs in Jaylen Wright and Alexander Mattison.

The speed of the wide receiver room is already well know. Tyreek Hill has been one of, if not the, fastest players in the NFL for quite some time. After making promises of 2000 yards a few years ago, Hill had a major downturn last year. He was dealing with injuries, off the field issues, and public comments about not wanting to be on the team all year. He failed to break the 1000-yard mark for only the 3rd time in his career. Per his quarterback, he has to rebuild his relationship with the team. Still a dynamic talent, he has the ability to produce and should be a big part of this offense. If he is not, Tua will be relying on Jaylen Waddle who has shown the ability to fill in for Tyreek as the playmaker for the offense. Waddle, much like everyone else on this offense, had a down year in 2024. He is looking to bounce back to true form. The Dolphins also added veteran Nick Westbrook-Ikhine in the offseason. Westbrook-Ikhine showed flashes of being able to produce big plays while on the Titans. A healthy Tua will easily be the best quarterback that he has had in his 6-year career. He is coming off of a career high 9 TD season with quarterbacks like Will Levis and Mason Rudolph. Look for him to contribute throughout the year.

The tight end position is a bit of a mystery at this point in time. Last year, Jonnu Smith had a breakout performance. He was just traded to the Steelers as part of a blockbuster trade that sent Smith and Jalen Ramsey to Pittsburgh and brought Minkah Fitzpatrick back to Miami. That left a void at the tight end spot. The Dolphins front office decided to fill it with a recently unretired Darren Waller. He was acquired in a trade with the New York Giants. He is currently on the PUP list so his health will remain a question. The next tight end on the depth chart is Julian Hill who has 18 career catches in 31 games played.

Another area of concern for this offense is going to be the offensive line. Terron Armstead, the starting left tackle for this team, retired this year and leaves big shoes to be filled. The remaining players do not inspire much confidence. Protecting the quarterback should be a priority for any team that hopes to win. Protecting the ONE quarterback who can operate your offense should be priority number one, no questions asked. I’m not entirely convinced that the offensive line for Miami is going to be able to keep Tua healthy. Ironically, several players on the line are currently dealing with injuries themselves.

Defense

The Dolphins run a 4-3 defensive scheme under defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver. As mentioned above, this unit was 10th in points allowed, allowing an average of 21.4 points per game. With some offseason changes, they will look to continue to be a top 10 defense as their offense figures themselves out.

The defensive line for this defense has some talent but depth should be a concern past their top guys. The interior of the line is anchored by Zach Sieler who posted back‑to‑back 10-sack seasons and ranks among NFL interior defenders in pressures, pass-rush win rate, and run stops. Kenneth Grant, the Dolphins’ 2025 first-round pick, bringsnew blood to the unit. He’s expected to start immediately and form a dynamic interior duo with Sieler. Benito Jones returns as a veteran run-stuffer. Although he offers minimal pass rush (only a few pressures last year), his stout rush defense gives rotational stability.

The ends for this team are where the pass rush should be felt by opposing teams. They have Bradley Chubb coming off of the right side. He is coming off of a knee injury so it remains to be seen if he can return to form. They currently have Chop Robinson listed as the left end. Robinson was their 1st round pick in 2024 and produced 6 sacks in his rookie campaign. If either of these two go down, there is a serious absence of depth.

There are similar issues facing the linebacking group. Jaelen Phillips is coming off an injury and was just held out of practice with a knee injury. Paired with him, will be Jordyn Brooks and Tyrel Dodson, both who racked up over 100 tackles apiece last year. They added Willie Gay Jr. as a depth piece. This group has some potential as they are athletic and are able to get to the ball. However, depth is once again a main concern.

It will start to sound like a broken record but the depth of the secondary should be a major concern for this team. They traded Jalen Ramsey to the Steelers. They currently have Kendall Sheffield and Storm Duck as their starting corners. They have a combined 0 career interceptions. That does not inspire much confidence. To add some veteran depth, they signed Mike Hinton and Jack Jones

At safety, they lost Javon Holland to free agency. They were able to get Minkah Fitzpatrick back in that Steelers trade. Fitzpatrick started his career in Miami and is consistently one of the best safeties in the game. He will pair with Ashtyn Davis, who spent the past 5 years on the Jets. Davis has not done too much om the field so far. This will be his opportunity to earn a starting role.

Summary

I think this might be the beginning of the end for Mike McDaniels as the head coach of the Dolphins. Even though he led this team to 8 wins last year, the front office did not do much to help him out. There is a good chance that this offense is able to return to its high scoring ways. However, much of that relies on the health of several oft injured players. Add on the bad vibes that are coming from the offensive players, I do not see this unit being on the same page once the season starts. That is not to mention, the defense is one or two serious injuries away from signing Jamie to play defensive back out there. Despite an expected easy schedule, it is tough to see this team win 8 games.

Bet – Under 7.5 (-110)

New York Jets – 6.5

  • Head Coach – Aaron Glenn
  • OC – Tanner Engstrand
  • DC – Steve Wilks
  • 2024 Record – 5-12
  • Strength of Schedule – 16th easiest

I probably wrote something similar in last years preview but 2024 was the most Jets season of all Jets seasons. They got Aaron Rodgers back, traded for Davante Adams, fired Robert Saleh while in London, and essentially had no coach for 12 games. Rumors were flying that the team was being run by the teenage son of owner Woody Johnson. Just an all-around mess of a year for the Jets, who have had plenty of messy seasons.

They finished 5-12 and then blew the whole thing up. they brought in a new coaching staff, general manager, and quarterback to try and turn things around in 2025. On paper, it looks like they should be able to start moving in the right direction. New head coach, Aaron Glenn, is being tasked with bringing some the Detroit(Dan Campbell) winning culture to New York. Glenn, who played for the Jets, spent the past four years as the defensive coordinator for the Lions. While he has a defensive coach, he is most likely going to employ a CEO type of coaching style.

Offense

Tanner Engstrand is taking over as the offensive coordinator for New York. Engstrand was the passing coordinator for the Lions for the past 3 seasons. He will obviously have some familiarity with Glenn and the culture that he hopes to instill. He also worked closely with quarterback Jared Goff who turned his career around in Detroit. Engstrand gets another quarterback who is looking to prove he belongs in this league as a starter.

Justin Fields was signed to be the starting quarterback this offseason. Fields was a high draft pick with the Chicago Bears. He never quite found the expected success in Chicago and ultimately landed in Pittsburgh last year as a back up. Due to a Russell Wilson injury, he found himself in the starting position for the first 6 games of the year. He went 4-2 in those games. He showed an ability to take care of the ball and manage the game. He threw for 5 TDs and 1 INT and added 5 TDs on the ground. He was chosen as the guy to lead this Jets offense that has playmakers at several positions. Unlike his previous teams, he should be able to rely on these weapons to move the ball down the field. It seems that the Jets learned to not put all of their eggs in one basket after the Rodgers years. They kept veteran quarterback, Tyrod Taylor, on the team to back up Fields. Taylor has been a serviceable back up for 13 years in the league and should be able to step in should Fields get hurt.

The Jets run game will most likely be the focal point of the offense. Much like the Detroit offense, this roster has two solid running backs to set the tone for the game. Breece Hall is still one of the best young running backs in the game. Entering his fourth season, it is time for him to take the next step. He has yet to break 1000 yards but that could be expected as the Jets have been playing from behind in most games. They have also not had the healthiest offensive line. Hall is also a viable option in the pass game. He is paired with second year Braelon Allen. Allen was used primarily in short yardage and red zone opportunities. He just turned 21 so he has plenty of time to continue to grow as a back. That is a scary thought considering that he is a 6’1″, 235 lbs. back. The Jets plan to use a third back as well, so look for Isiah Davis to get some carries throughout the year. Pair these backs with the running ability of Fields and the Jets may have one of the more effective run games in the league.

Running the ball allows the pass game to open up. The primary beneficiary of a strong game is going to be fourth year wide receiver, Garrett Wilson. Wilson just signed a massive 4-year extension this offseason. He has cleared the 1000-yard mark in all 3 seasons he has played so far despite inconsistent quarterback play. He is a dynamic athlete as he showed last year, when he had one of the greatest touchdown catches of all time. He should continue to produce at a high level with more stable quarterback play. He has a new running partner in Josh Reynolds. Reynolds has bounced around the league for years but had his most productive years in Detroit. Allen Lazard was also resigned to fill out the starting receivers for this team. With the departure of tight end Tyler Conklin, the Jets drafted rookie Mason Taylor. Taylor is expected to be the starting tight end.

The group that has been under the most fire over the past few years has been the offensive line. After signing several veterans last year, they appear to be moving forward with a youth movement. They lost Morgan Moses, Wes Schweitzer, and Jake Hanson to free agency. Tyron Smith retired. So, this year, the starting left tackle will be second year player Olu Fashanu. Bookending him at the right tackle spot will be rookie Armand Membou. On the interior, they will have John Simpson and Alijah Vera-Tucker at guard and Joe Tippmann at center.

Defense

There is a new leader for this unit that has been considered to be one of the more talented defenses in the league. Aaron Glenn hired former 49ers defensive coordinator, Steve Wilks to fill the role. Wilks has had success as a defensive play caller, despite being scapegoated for the 49ers Super Bowl loss. He inherits yet another defense heavily influenced by Robert Saleh and wil lhave the opportunity to help this talented group reach their potential.

It all starts up front with the defensive line, led by big man Quinnen Williams. Williams has been one of the best defensive tackles in the game since he was drafted. He will be asked to step up this year as the Jets lost Solomon Thomas and Javon Kinlaw to free agency. He will be paired with Byron Cowart who was brought in from Chicago. They also signed Derrick Nnandi and Jay Tufele for depth and rotational pieces.

Off the edge will be Will McDonald IV, who had 10.5 sacks last year. His speed and continued improvement should make him the focal point of the pass rush. His expected running parter, Jermaine Johnson, was put on the PUP list as he is rehabbing his achilles injury from last year. He is expected to be back for week 1. If he is unable to gom that would be a big blow to this pass rush as he has developed into a disruptive pass rusher. His spot will most likely be filled by Michael Clemons who had 4.5 sacks last year.

The linebackers lost their main guy when C.J Mosely was cut for cap reasons. The reason that they felt comfortable moving on from Mosely was due to the emergence of Jamien Sherwood. Sherwood had 158 total tackles last year and added 2 sacks. He has developed into quite the player and is a leader on this defense. He is joined by anther outstanding linebacker in Quincy Williams. Quincy had 116 tackles last year. 2 sacks and forced 4 fumbles. This packs a great 1-2 punch from the linebacker position. Rounding out the room will be Marcelin McCrary-Ball, who has an opportunity to earn the starting role.

This secondary is led by Sauce Gardner. Gardner was another key piece that the Jets signed to an extension, signaling that he is part of the vision for the future of this team. His stats do not jump off the page but that is usually a good thing for a corner. The first two years of his career, he was not targeted that often. Last year, teams seemed to go after him a bit and there were signs of struggle. This can be a bounce back year for Gardner. He gets some help on the other side from newly signed Brandon Stephens. Stephens spent the last 4 years in Baltimore and was a consistent contributor. in the slot, they will be supported by Michael Carter II. The safeties are listed as Tony Adams, who has been on the team for the past 3 years, which brings consistency to the backend. They also signed Andre Cisco from the Jaguars to fill the other Safety slot.

Summary

The more that I look at last years team, it is amazing that they were able to win 5 games. They were a rudderless ship for most of the year. The offense was being led by Nathaniel Hackett, who is seemingly out of job at this point. A new culture is being instilled and there may be some growing pains. Their expected schedule difficulty is middle of the road, so they should be able to be in games. it will be a matter of whether this new head coach knows how to close out in game winning situations. I believe that 7 wins is definitely attainable for this team.

Bet – Over 6.5 (+125)

New England Patriots – 8.5

  • Head Coach – Mike Vrabel
  • OC – Josh McDaniels
  • DC – Terrell Williams
  • 2024 Record – 4-13
  • Strength of Schedule – 2nd easiest

Jerod Mayo’s tenure as the head coach of the New England Patriots was short lived. He was one and done after leading this team to a 4-13 record. It was a tough situatiuno for Mayo, who had to follow Bill Belichick and inherited a roster with several holes. It also happened to be the year that they drafted Drake Maye to be the quarterback of the future. Owner Robert Kraft decided to take action and bring in another former player as the head coach. He hired former Titans head coach Mike Vrabel to lead this team. Vrabel has a track record of success and being able to get his teams to the playoffs. He will bring a level of toughness and accountability to this team that was missing last year. With a young quarterback and a new leader, this Patriots team are working to get back to the glory days.

Offense

Vrabel hired Josh McDaniels as offensive coordinator. McDaniels is a known entity in New England as he was the offensive coordinator for most of the Tom Brady era. He has the chance to work with a young offensive unit who struggled with consistency last year. Last year, they were averaging 17 points per game, which was 30th in the NFL. There is basically nowhere to go but up for this squad.

He will be working with Drake Maye, who showed flashes of why he was drafted 3rd overall last year. He appeared in 13 games and threw for 2.276 yards, 15 TDs and 10 ints. Now, as the full-fledged starter, he has the chance to improve upon those numbers and more importantly, win some more games for the Patriots. It will be interesting to see how the dynamic between Maye and McDaniels will evolve. McDaniels comes from “tough coaching” style that can sometimes rub players the wrong way. Maye will have to learn his second offense in as many years and there may be some growing pains. However, last year, he showed that the talent is there and that he has the ability to improve. As a depth signing, they signed Joshua Dobbs who has started for several teams in the league.

Every Vrabel and McDaniels led team have put an emphasis on the run game. Vrabel had Derrick Henry to lean on while in Tennesse and McDaniels has historically used a committee approach. This team is set up for the McDaniels approach. Rhamondre Stevenson is the lead back for the Patriots. He is coming off of an 800-yard, 7 TD season. He has shown the ability to be the workhorse and will probably continue to recieve the bulk of the carries. He will be supplemented by rookie, TreVeon Henderson and receiving back Antonio Gibson. Look for the backs to be rotated based on the week specific game plan and situational packages. For fantasy football players, I think we are back to not trusting Patriot running backs.

A major gap in last year’s team was a true number 1 wide receiver. this was addressed with the signing of Stefon Diggs in the offseason. Diggs is coming off an injury so he may take some time to work into a full workload. When healthy, Diggs is still a top wide receiver and gives this offense a kind of threat that they did not have last year. He will be added to a group of receivers like DeMario Douglas, who has been good for 500+ yards a year, Kayshon Boutte, who has quietly contributed, and veteran Kenrick Bourne. They also added veteran Mack Hollins, who provides a big frame as a target. They also drafted Kyle Williams in the 3rd round in the hopes of developing him into a solid pass catcher.

The offensive line, as it will for most teams, will set the tone for this offense. There was obviously an emphasis on building up the line this offseason. They drafted Will Campbell in the first round to play left tackle. Campbell was touted as the best tackle in this year’s draft. They added Morgan Moses in free agency to play the Right Tackle spot. Then they have Cole Strange and Mike Onwenu at the guard positions. They added veteran center, Garrett Bradbury to solidify the middle of the line.

Defense

The defense has already improved with just the hiring of Vrabel. He brings his former defensive line coach, Terrell Williams, in as defensive coordinator. Last year, this unit was 22nd in the league in terms of points allowed. They allowed 24.5 points per game. With an offense that was only scoring 17 points per game, you need your defense to be elite in order to win more games. This squad is moving in the right direction with the coaching hire and some of the offseason personnel moves.

The defensive front was one of the worst in the league in 2024. They had the lowest sack total and was near the bottom of the rankings in pressure rate. They addressed this by signing Milton Williams from the Eagles and by bringing in Khyris Tonga from Washington. These two big bodies will join Christian Barmore as the 3 down lineman for this 3-4 base defense.

Coming off the edge from the outside linebacking positions will be Keion White and Harold Landry III. White had a slow rookie year but improved last year . He posted 56 total tackles and 5 sacks. Landry is a veteran edge rusher who played for Vrabel in Tennessee. He brings a career 50.5 sacks and 397 total tackles. He has been incredibly consistent throughout his career and will bring a much needed element to this defense. The interior linebackers are going to be Robert Spillane and Christian Elliss. Spillane is a hard hitting linebacker that was brought in from Las Vegas and is coming off his most productive year. He had 158 total tackles, 2 sacks, and 2 interceptions. Elliss is also coming off of his best year with 80 total tackles. I would imagine that the influence of Vrabel on this group should be evident from day 1.

The secondary has potential to be one of the more solid secondaries in the league. First-round pick Christian Gonzalez remains a strong performer when healthy. He gets a new partner with the signing of Carlton Davis III. Davis has had success in both Tampa Bay and Detroit. His challenge will be to remain healthy. Otherwise, he brings a veteran presence to this room. The nickel back will be played by Marcus Jones. Jones has been a consistent contributor in his 3 years on the Pats. At the safety position, they still have Jabrill Peppers and Kyle Dugger. When healthy, Peppers is a dynamic athlete and a hard-hitting safety. These guys have the chance to improve this year and guard the back end while the improved pass rush can get after the quarterback.

Summary

The culture overhaul brought in by Mike Vrabel has expectations incredibly high for the Patriots. A year removed from only winning 4 games, the line is at 8.5. They have the 2nd easiest schedule and are incredibly optimistic with their young talent on offense. I believe that Vrabel is the right guy for the job and will have a better season than Jerod Mayo had. However, in regard to win totals, jumping from 4 to 9 wins is a big ask for a roster that is still very similar to the previous couple of years. I find it hard to see where the 9+ wins come from.

Bet – Under 8.5 (-130)

*Odds taken from Fanduel

*Strength of Schedule from Sharp Analysis

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