Merry Christmas!!!! The NFL has gifted us 3 games on a Thursday to start Week 17. It is not the greatest grouping of games as several of the teams are eliminated from the playoffs and each game is going to be missing at least 1 starting quarterback. That being said, I have gone through the available bets for today and picked three that I think should be a lock. Let’s make some money!

Best Bets

• Javonte Williams Rush Yards over 72.5
• David Montgomery Rush Yards over 30.5
• Troy Franklin Receiving Yards over 35.5

Best Bet Background – Javonte Williams Rush Yards over 72.5

The first game is kicking off at 1 PM with the Cowboys taking on the Commanders. The Commanders will be starting Josh Johnson at quarterback after Marcus Mariota suffered an injury last week. That means that the Cowboys are more than likely going to be playing with a lead in this game. The Commanders have one of the worst defenses in the league, so you can expect the Dallas offense to move the ball with little resistance. The run game is going to be heavily featured as this game winds down. That is why I think Javonte Williams is being set up for a productive game. He is already averaging 76.5 yards per game. He will go against the 29th ranked run defense in the league. Washington is allowing 141 rush yards per game. I would expect the Cowboys to get a lead early and run the ball often.

Best Bet Background – David Montgomery Rush Yards over 30.5

The second game of the Christmas slate will kick off at 4:30 between the Lions and Vikings. This is another game in which one of the teams will be trotting out a backup quarterback. Max Brosmer will be starting for the Vikings. That means that the Lions should have the advantage in this game. Minnesota’s defense will keep them somewhat competitive, but the Lions have too much firepower on offense. Looking at the Viking defense, they are vulnerable to the run. They are allowing 127 yards per game, which is 24th in the league. The Lions should attack with the combination of their two running backs. For this game, I like David Montgomery at 30.5 yards instead of Jahmyr Gibbs at 76.5. Aside from it being the lower line, Monty has been more consistent with his carries. Gibbs has struggled on the ground over the last 5 games while Monty is consistently running over the 30-yard mark. I would expect both backs to get plenty of carries, but Monty should be the one to bring this home for us.

Best Bet Background – Troy Franklin Receiving Yards over 35.5

The 3rd and final game of the Christmas slate kicks off at 8:5 between the Broncos and Chiefs. The Chief will be starting their 3rd string quarterback and are coming off a bad loss to the Titans. There is not much to look forward to in this game. However, they are division rivals and Denver has played down to their competition all year. I think that the Kansas City defense will cause some issues for Denver and will force them to continue to throw the ball throughout the game. So, we are going with Troy Franklin for our best bet for this one. Franklin is averaging 46.1 yards per game. He has gone over today’s line in 3 of his last 5 games. One of those includes an 84-yard performance against the Chiefs. The Chiefs defense is allowing 204 yards er game, which is ranked 12th in the league. They are vulnerable to letting up yards as they play a “bend-don’t-break” style of defense. I would expect Franklin to

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